This is how I think the electoral map will look toward the end of the night on November 4.
Colorado is still a contest but their polling has been erratic. Putting them into the McCain column would not change the fact that he would still need to pick up at least two out of the three states I see as undecided to win the election.
If I'm right, based on this map, the electoral vote count will be Obama - 250, McCain - 227. There are three states that I see as "up for grabs" - Ohio, Pennsylvania and Virginia.
If McCain sweeps these three states he'll win by 31 electoral votes.
He can afford to lose Virginia. So long as he carries Ohio and Pennsylvania and the map holds he'll be up by five and win the election.
If he loses Ohio McCain goes down by 9, to counteract that he would have to pick-up Nevada, a long shot, to win by 1 electoral vote.
If McCain loses Pennsylvania he stands to lose the election...
Why do I think PA is up for grabs?
Well our elected officials aren't exactly exhibiting a whole lot of faith in the electorate... Rep. Murtha Clarifies 'Racist' Remark, Calls Western Pa. 'Redneck'
The Politico sees a shot...
Fast Eddie is already lining up his excuses...
Obama's internal polling has him up by just two points in PA...
No comments:
Post a Comment